Weekend projections: One Love tops chart, and heads to $50-million-plus six-day opening
Whereas it would technically fall in need of having the very best weekend of 2024 up to now, Bob Marley: One Love is the primary hit of the year. Its uncommon “opening weekend,” operating from Valentine’s Day on Wednesday by way of the top of the President’s Day vacation on Monday, will generate $51 million on the field workplace, in accordance with Paramount’s Sunday-morning projection. Its three-day, Friday-to-Sunday, opening will land at about $27.7 million, lower than $1 million behind Imply Lady’s $28.6-million debut again in January. With glorious viewers’ word-of-mouth, there’s nonetheless an opportunity Marley may prime that determines.
Right here’s how the three-day weekend numbers look as of Sunday morning (click on the picture for the total chart of movies reporting up to now)…
What actually stands out within the general numbers for the weekend is how strongly all of the returning movies are performing. Usually, President’s Day weekend isn’t an enormous vacation, however a mixture of a bump from that, plus a comparability with a market hit exhausting by final weekend’s Tremendous Bowl, means a number of movies are coming in properly forward of our mannequin’s prediction.
The openers are doing much less properly, comparatively, however, that’s largely as a result of the mannequin having a tricky time pinning down the effect of their opening days on February 14. Weighing up all of the elements, I believed One Love ought to hit $25 million for the three-day weekend, and that has been confirmed to be the case. Likewise, Madame Net’s debut is consistent with lowered expectations.
Read also: Weekend predictions: Bob Marley might have one of the best weekends of 2024 up to now
Internationally, the Bob Marley biopic will raise about $29 million this weekend, opening at primary in 13 markets. It set opening-day information for a music biopic within the UK and France (though it’s monitoring behind Bohemian Rhapsody over the weekend within the UK) and is (appropriately) having the most important opening weekend of all time in Jamaica. The viewership within the US is 53% feminine, 60% between the ages of 18 and 44, and splits evenly demographically: one-third Caucasian, one-third Black, and 1/4 Hispanic. It should prime a $1-million opening in six territories: the UK ($9.3 million), France ($5.5 million), Australia ($2.0m), Germany ($1.8m), Brazil ($1.8m), and Mexico ($1.0m). Its $280,000 from 5 cinemas in Jamaica is a brand new island file.
Madame Net, in the meantime, will earn $25.7 million internationally and hit primary in 29 (principally small) markets. Its prime markets are the UK ($2.9m), Mexico ($2.9m), France ($1.6m), Australia ($1.5m), Germany ($1.5m), Brazil ($1.5m), and Spain ($1.0m), all around the five-day prolonged weekend.
A pair of extra notes again dwelling: The Chosen: Season 4, Episodes 4–6, is holding on properly by way of the weekend, but nonetheless monitoring properly behind Episodes 1–3—see our full comparisons right here. It ought to be helped by the vacation tomorrow, however appears set to earn round half of the quantity picked up by the earlier launch within the collection.
Lastly, Land of Unhealthy, a star-studded motion film, will give The Avenue Leisure their first prime 10 films. The distributor has made a wager on these sorts of movies, which usually do properly on VOD, and it appears as if this one has paid off theatrically too. $1.8 million isn’t record-setting, in fact, however, seeing one other distributor discover a solution to respectable theatrical earnings is sweet information for the enterprise as a complete.